The Trump Death

And finally early this morning the numbers:

60,966 Americans Killed By Trump.

1,039,909 Confrimed Cases of Trump Virus.

5.86% Trump Kill Rate. That is Trump's high. The previous high was 5.72%.

Daily Cases Bar Graph, Johns Hopkins:

We have seen this pattern before: a beguiling three day drop followed by daily increases. We see that now. We saw a three day drop April 18-20 and then four days of increases. A three day drop April 11-13 and then a completely demoralizing four day increase culminating on April 24 with the high water mark so far of 36,300 cases on that one day. The most recent April 25-27 drop and the April 28-29 increases are a deeper drop than previously seen and the two day rise so far does not seem to augur as high as previously. In other words, it looks like it is being moderately suppressed. All will be watching April 30's total. No way I expect it to sky-rocket. I think there's an even chance it will increase for the third consecutive day, but at a lower high, and an equal chance that this will be only a two day rise and April 30's daily count will be lower. The latter possibility would be a significant marker to my uneducated mind. But then...partial reopenings of many states have already been announced. I think partial reopenings are a mistake. CDC guidelines have forever been that we need fourteen consecutive days of declines before any reopenings, however modest, occur. But, but: I have to strain to see progress with most of the country locked down. Maybe that was just not going to work.