-People made up their minds about Trump in March-April. They made up their minds decisively away from Trump.
-This occurred with the Biden campaign doing virtually nothing.
-The race is over. Biden has won.
-Trump has admitted that Biden has won. The preference polls, the presidential approval polls, every poll of every race, color and creed shows that Biden has won, has won it now, not will win it, has won it Now.
-The election now is pro forma, convenient as distraction between now and President Biden's inauguration on January 20 only because there are no sports.
-This moment is not "turbulent." Not for Biden. Turbulent as hell for Trump who upchucks his lunch every day and then splashes in it to make sure he's completely covered. The Trump Epidemic has only gotten worse since the states re-opened to Trump's call to "LIBERATE!" The Trump Epidemic is only going to get worse between now and November 3 and voters are getting pissed—at Trump! The Trump Epidemic is getting worse precisely in those Red states that Trump needs to avoid a 40-10 state sweep in November. It follows that the Trump Virus is sickening and killing Trump voters in those Red states.
All of the above satisfy the beyond a reasonable doubt standard.
The consideration now has two sides to it.
Since all of the above, you adopt the position of running-out-the-clock, not getting in the way of your opponent when he is making a fool of himself; you adopt the posture of if-it-ain't-broke-don't-fix-it. President Biden has stayed in his home, which is safe, responsible and has worked politically; he has said he will not be holding traditional campaign rallies, ditto; the Party is going to have a virtual convention; we haven’t spent much money so far, there’s no need to go all Moonies-at-the-airport now; I would not deign share a debate stage with this impostor, Donald-the-Illigitimate. I would not confer that last measure of legitimacy on the Moscow's Man in Washington. There is nothing in it for Biden. You adopt those postures until, and this you expect, the race tightens.You're scared of turbulence. Waves make you seasick. You want a ripple not a wave.
The flip side is
You embrace this moment. You hug it and kiss it and wed it and seize it by the hand and handcuff yourself to it and you confidently, merrily skip along with it on the blue-hued path to Inauguration Day. You coax that ripple up to a wave and you ride that wave and push it forward and build it up until it is a blue tsunami.You don't doubt, you don't look back, you look and move Forward. Ipso facto this side to the consideration augurs for ordering up rounds all around of Texas Tea.
I do not trust the experience or the judgment of Jennifer O’Malley Dillon as I do those of Harry Reid, Senator Brown, Congressman Castro, Congressman Vela, James Carville, the Lincoln Project saints, all them other "Democratic lawmakers and party officials." Under this strategy, not under Jennifer O'Malley Dillon but someone else, you seize this moment, you go all in on Ohio, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and yes, Texas. In fact you start with Texas. You go big, because everything is bigger in Texas. You have Joe give a surprise speech on the state house landing. You do what Donald Trump's campaign is too incompetent to do: you have a carefully selected crowd of Biden supporters present. You demonstrate your logistical nous with the competence and discipline to rigidly enforce social distancing and masking in the audience. You have Joe stake his claim. "I choose to go to Texas! I choose to go to Texas not because it is easy, but because it is hard." You take all the money you're spending on Michigan and Pennsylvania and anywhere else and you divert it to Texas right now. You make a massive, saturation media buy right now in Houston, San Antonio, Austin, McAllen, and El Paso. "Oh, we don't have that much money." Yes, you do. Under this strategy, you dump every dime you have and you get more dimes wherever you have to, and dump them into those five Texas markets (I skipped the largest, Big D, intentionally; I don't think DFW is a good place.).Texas is Pennsylvania and Ohio combined. Texas is more than Florida and Nevada combined; Texas is more than Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota combined; more than North Carolina and Georgia combined. You win Texas you don't have to win all of those other states that combined have the same or fewer electoral votes. You win Texas you win the biggest enchilada east of California. Texas is already in play. Trump has been to Dallas once. Hasn't spent any money there. You spend money in Texas, you will divert Trump money from Ohio, Michigan and Georgia. Trump would freak the fuck out if the Bidens committed heavily to Texas.
I close. I have said as much as I can think to say for each of these flip sides and now I'm getting tired. I would not wait; I would seize this moment and spend every dime I had, and then some, right now. I would not deign to debate an illegitimate president. I would make that speech in Austin but I would not go all-in on Texas right now, I could not in good conscience as campaign manager, I don't trust Texas, and the only way you can go on Texas is all-in. You can't feint in Texas, you either have to go or no. So I would wait on the media buy until I can saturate the major Texas markets, not until closer to November, closer to September. I’d give it a month and a half and watch my coffers fill and see the effect in Texas of Trump Virus and Trump foot-in-mouth disease and Trump’s baby steps and sippy cups and perp walks and then if those have the effect I expect I would drench the Texas airwaves in blue. Until September I would go all-in on every other gray, light blue and pink state out there.
*I have not taken my sleeping pill yet. This post is not written under the influence.
-This occurred with the Biden campaign doing virtually nothing.
-The race is over. Biden has won.
-Trump has admitted that Biden has won. The preference polls, the presidential approval polls, every poll of every race, color and creed shows that Biden has won, has won it now, not will win it, has won it Now.
-The election now is pro forma, convenient as distraction between now and President Biden's inauguration on January 20 only because there are no sports.
-This moment is not "turbulent." Not for Biden. Turbulent as hell for Trump who upchucks his lunch every day and then splashes in it to make sure he's completely covered. The Trump Epidemic has only gotten worse since the states re-opened to Trump's call to "LIBERATE!" The Trump Epidemic is only going to get worse between now and November 3 and voters are getting pissed—at Trump! The Trump Epidemic is getting worse precisely in those Red states that Trump needs to avoid a 40-10 state sweep in November. It follows that the Trump Virus is sickening and killing Trump voters in those Red states.
All of the above satisfy the beyond a reasonable doubt standard.
The consideration now has two sides to it.
Since all of the above, you adopt the position of running-out-the-clock, not getting in the way of your opponent when he is making a fool of himself; you adopt the posture of if-it-ain't-broke-don't-fix-it. President Biden has stayed in his home, which is safe, responsible and has worked politically; he has said he will not be holding traditional campaign rallies, ditto; the Party is going to have a virtual convention; we haven’t spent much money so far, there’s no need to go all Moonies-at-the-airport now; I would not deign share a debate stage with this impostor, Donald-the-Illigitimate. I would not confer that last measure of legitimacy on the Moscow's Man in Washington. There is nothing in it for Biden. You adopt those postures until, and this you expect, the race tightens.You're scared of turbulence. Waves make you seasick. You want a ripple not a wave.
The flip side is
You embrace this moment. You hug it and kiss it and wed it and seize it by the hand and handcuff yourself to it and you confidently, merrily skip along with it on the blue-hued path to Inauguration Day. You coax that ripple up to a wave and you ride that wave and push it forward and build it up until it is a blue tsunami.You don't doubt, you don't look back, you look and move Forward. Ipso facto this side to the consideration augurs for ordering up rounds all around of Texas Tea.
I do not trust the experience or the judgment of Jennifer O’Malley Dillon as I do those of Harry Reid, Senator Brown, Congressman Castro, Congressman Vela, James Carville, the Lincoln Project saints, all them other "Democratic lawmakers and party officials." Under this strategy, not under Jennifer O'Malley Dillon but someone else, you seize this moment, you go all in on Ohio, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and yes, Texas. In fact you start with Texas. You go big, because everything is bigger in Texas. You have Joe give a surprise speech on the state house landing. You do what Donald Trump's campaign is too incompetent to do: you have a carefully selected crowd of Biden supporters present. You demonstrate your logistical nous with the competence and discipline to rigidly enforce social distancing and masking in the audience. You have Joe stake his claim. "I choose to go to Texas! I choose to go to Texas not because it is easy, but because it is hard." You take all the money you're spending on Michigan and Pennsylvania and anywhere else and you divert it to Texas right now. You make a massive, saturation media buy right now in Houston, San Antonio, Austin, McAllen, and El Paso. "Oh, we don't have that much money." Yes, you do. Under this strategy, you dump every dime you have and you get more dimes wherever you have to, and dump them into those five Texas markets (I skipped the largest, Big D, intentionally; I don't think DFW is a good place.).Texas is Pennsylvania and Ohio combined. Texas is more than Florida and Nevada combined; Texas is more than Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota combined; more than North Carolina and Georgia combined. You win Texas you don't have to win all of those other states that combined have the same or fewer electoral votes. You win Texas you win the biggest enchilada east of California. Texas is already in play. Trump has been to Dallas once. Hasn't spent any money there. You spend money in Texas, you will divert Trump money from Ohio, Michigan and Georgia. Trump would freak the fuck out if the Bidens committed heavily to Texas.
I close. I have said as much as I can think to say for each of these flip sides and now I'm getting tired. I would not wait; I would seize this moment and spend every dime I had, and then some, right now. I would not deign to debate an illegitimate president. I would make that speech in Austin but I would not go all-in on Texas right now, I could not in good conscience as campaign manager, I don't trust Texas, and the only way you can go on Texas is all-in. You can't feint in Texas, you either have to go or no. So I would wait on the media buy until I can saturate the major Texas markets, not until closer to November, closer to September. I’d give it a month and a half and watch my coffers fill and see the effect in Texas of Trump Virus and Trump foot-in-mouth disease and Trump’s baby steps and sippy cups and perp walks and then if those have the effect I expect I would drench the Texas airwaves in blue. Until September I would go all-in on every other gray, light blue and pink state out there.
*I have not taken my sleeping pill yet. This post is not written under the influence.
