Alrighty, it is 10:30 bells at night, the Quasi's are ready for us.
14-day changes
-26% Cases. Same as BIDEN+104.
-12% Hospitalizations. One point better.
-3% Deaths. One point better.
7-day daily averages
46,603 Cases. Down 1.7k/day.
40,287 Hospitalizations. Down almost 600/day.
701 Deaths. Down 19/day.
Excellent report so far.
1.74% Deaths-Hospitalizations rate. Down.
And now Vax are going to bust my balls.
2,132,487 Vax. Yep, down 72k/day. Argh.
Herd Immunity (90% Vax) Day
Nov. 1. Back a full week more. Makes me sick.
President Biden Grade B
8:33 p.m.
You don't see "incredibly" in many ledes in the Qasi-official New York Times. That's against the British, B.1.1.7, and the South African, B.1.351.
Overall, it was 97.4 percent effective at preventing severe, critical or fatal disease from any form of the coronavirus, and 100 percent effective at preventing severe, critical or fatal disease caused by B.1.1.7 or B.1.351.
I got a 103 one time on a logic test. In college.
So proud of American Pfizer.
11:36 a.m.
You expect data at 10:31 a.m.? Try back in twelve hours. Rather, the undersigned brightens your inbox this morning with this hopeful corrective to yesterday's intro to BIDEN+104.The city of San Francisco may be achieving herd immunity at 40%-50% of first-dose adults (:o!). 66% of Frisco (they hate that moniker which is why I use it) adults and 60% of the entire metro population have gotten at least one shot. While herd is commonly guesstimated to occur at 70%-85%,
A better indication is if a city’s number of cases and hospitalizations fall to a low level and stay that way, even with few restrictions in place, said Dr. Monica Gandhi, an infectious disease physician and professor of medicine at the University of California, San Francisco.
...
Vaccines can help bring... numbers down, but how quickly it happens depends largely on the situation on the ground. In places where cases are increasing, scientists have observed an inflection point with vaccinations, after which cases, hospitalizations and deaths start to fall dramatically.
“It appeared to be at the 40 to 50 percent first-dose rate,” Gandhi said. “After that, things started plummeting.”
...
San Francisco is testing its experience by reopening:
"This is our moment to put the pandemic behind us," said Dr. Grant Colfax, San Francisco's health director.
Nationally, we are at 56% of adults and 45% of all having gotten one dose. It's not clear from this NBC report if Dr. Gandhi's 40%-50% inflection point refers to adults or alls. Nationally, the three categories, Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, did plummet: from Jan. 8 to Feb. 20 for Cases; from Jan. 8-March 23 for H's, and from Jan. 28-Feb. 20, and then again from Feb. 24-April 10, for Deaths--but very few, and nowhere near 40%-50%, of whatever pop. had been vaccinated through almost all of that Big Drop. But Frisco's daily Cases bar graph since Jan. 1,
is very similar-looking to the national.
