Tuesday, July 20, 2021

COVID-19 BIDEN+181

 

The Delta variant makes up an estimated 83 percent of U.S. cases, the C.D.C. director says.


The highly infectious Delta variant now accounts for an estimated 83 percent of new coronavirus cases in the United States — a “dramatic increase” from early July, when it crossed the 50 percent threshold to become the dominant variant in this country, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Tuesday.
...
...two-dose vaccines have been shown to be effective against the Delta variant but questions have been raised about Johnson & Johnson’s single-dose regimen against Delta.

14-day changes

Cases +198%
Hospitalizations +45%
Deaths +44%

Historical graphs through July 20, 2021





























































I have never been quite sure of the cases-hospitalizations and hospitalizations-death intervals so when I read about them on July 12 on CNN I screenshotted the intel for the future. The future is now:


Case-Hospitalization--"one week".
Hospitalization-Death--two to three weeks.
Case-Death--"three to four weeks".

We don't see that in the above graphs. Cases started their uninterrupted rise on July 7; Hospitalizations on July 4, and deaths bottomed out on July 7 (these are all 7-day averages), topped out on July 14, and have declined every iteration of the 7-day since. We're not there yet on the C-D interval; the C-H interval on the graphs though is plain backasswords, and the H-D is not looking too spiffy either although we're still in the three week window. So a lot of good you did Noodles.