Thursday, August 05, 2021

Revised CDC Forecasts

Average daily cases week of Aug. 11: 89,191. Up over current actual 77,366.
-----------------------------------Aug. 18: 110,751. Humongous increase.
-----------------------------------Aug. 25: 139,146. Another humongous leap.
-----------------------------------Sept. 1:   149,072. A much smaller rise. We note however that this much smaller rise occurs in the last week of the forecasts when the forecasting data is at its most attenuated.

At the projected 149,072 cases are well up the down slope of the catastrophic Jan. 2021 peak, 1,729,634.

Average daily deaths week of August 11: 391
------------------------------------August 18: 467. Big jump.
------------------------------------August 25: 566. Bigger jump.
--------------------------------------   Sept. 1: 622.

The vaccines are working, and projected to continue to work, in preventing death.