Thursday, August 27, 2020

Grand Old Plague Convention Final Day: 180,000!



























What an accomplishment. Worthy of the fireworks celebration tonight after the Leader makes His acceptance speech from the Rose Garden over the cacophony of car horns, air horns, and bull horns, and fuck you chants.

The above is per Johns Hopkins. This is from the New York Times: Through August 26 the seven-day Cases average is on a four-day plateau of approximately 42,000 per day. Ah, the good old days when Trump was averaging infecting only half that per day, which he was through mid-June.

It's in the latter half of June that the enormous Bulge occurred, after Trump's calls to "LIBERATE!" the states resulted in re-openings. The Bulge seven-day average plateaued at about 64,000 per increment for over two whole weeks, July 16-31. Since, the Cases average had been on a consistent and precipitous drop until August 23 and this new plateau. We are back to June 30's seven-day average. Trump also wanted schools reopened, of course, and some already have. The sample size is too small as yet to say if this 42,000 leveling of the drop is due to that but if it is Trump, of course, will take no responsibility. He grew "bored" with the Trump Epidemic long ago and doesn't care.

The Deaths seven-day average has been on a slight decline since the August 17 iteration to just under 1,000. You notice that Trump never did get a bulge in Deaths to correspond to that July 16-31 in Cases. And he is not going to. Deaths lag Cases by two-four weeks and that 64k seven-day average for those two whole weeks has been "digested". If Trump cared he would be happy about. The rest of us do care and that is a huge relief. Publocc therefore predicts that the Deaths seven-day is going to continue on its downward trend. The Deaths seven-day average is now where it was in the July 26 iteration.