Friday, March 28, 2014

The Rape of Ukraine.

The Russians are establishing supply lines and their troops on the border with Ukraine are concealing their positions. Training exercises, schraming exercises. The conditions laid down by Lavrov for recognition, that is, for non-invasion, of Ukraine are impossible. Russia will invade. Most likely Russia will invade during that "window of opportunity" identified by Foreign Policy from mid-April to mid-May. Meanwhile, the West goes on as if this is not going to happen, which may be more accurate and authoritative than Foreign Policy magazine, or then again, not. The U.S. has approved a $1 billion "loan" to Ukraine and the IMF $15 billion, I think that was the amount. Now, West: if Russia invades and de facto takes over, even by establishing a puppet government, wouldn't all those billions go to Russia, de facto?

The window of opportunity (Hereinafter, the W.o.O or woo, after the American practice of abbreviating everything) is a window of Russian military readiness and of Ukrainian lack of readiness. Ukraine cannot fight effectively right now. So, Ukraine, U.S., Britain, you latter two written guarantors (along with Rus) of Ukraine's sovereignty: why not "Berlin Wall" the Ukrainian side of the border? Mine it! Lay anti-tank and anti-personnel mines along the border. Like on the border between North and South Korea. Make the Rooskis paratroop in. Lot harder to paratroop in; paratroopers are sitting, well, gliding ducks.