Sunday, April 03, 2016

No Way To Chose A Nominee

North Dakota, a suburb of Alberta, Canada, chose delegates today to the Republican National Convention. North Dakota is unique in this process, at least I hope it is unique, for their is no primary election precedent, no caucuses open to Republican registrants. No, this is the "good old days," as the Trumpster fire likes to say. This is the smoke-filled hockey rink with 2,000 Republican Party officials.

And speaking of the good old days, North Dakotans take a Burkean view of representative democracy. They vote for the delegates they believe are most deserving, for their friends you might say, and they trust those they choose to exercise their judgment and vote for whomever they want! No avowed partisans of the three remaining candidates. Unseemly, I guess, confusing I know. Those selected have no obligation to vote for any candidate even on the first ballot.

I did not know North Dakotans drank so much. North Dakota has been ignored in the past, you know what excess drinking can do to brain functioning but North Dakota is important this year for the first time in its life. There are only 25 or so sloshed delegates at stake in North Dakota but when keeping Donald J. Fascist from getting a total of 1,237 is the name of the game for all earth-based Republicans those 25 drunk North Dakotans are suddenly important. North Dakota's regulars are of course conservative, they are partial to the whiskey they were weaned on and are uniformly believed averse to some newfangled concoction like Trump vodka. They'll stick with Old Overholt, thank you. So the chalk is on Cruz getting the lion's share of the North Dakota delegates and that seems a good bet.

Of more moment is the voting behavior of the sensible Swedes (I think it's Swedes) in Wisconsin. More delegates at stake in Wisconsin, fewer brains pickled in Etoh, a strong, battle-tested Party, and a real primary election presumably with some predictable effect on delegates awarded but this is the Republicans so who knows.

Rafael Edward "Ted" Cruz is doing his best impersonation of Gloria Steinem in defense of strong women insulted and demeaned by Donald Trump which is to say the entire female population of the United States and Cruz leads in every one of the five most recent polls conducted in Cheese Nation. The lead ranges from one point to ten with the average at 6.8. Cruz is overwhelmingly likely to win and win Cruz must. If Trump upended the polls the Stop Trump effort would incur a blow that would call for the towel to be thrown in.

I had in mind something more convincing than 6.8% however when I predicted here very recently that Cruz would "crush" Trump in Wisconsin, I had in mind a 10+ percentage win for the anti-christ. That would be the equivalent of Joe Frazier's crushing left hook to the jaw of Muhammad The Mouth Ali that sent tassel-shoes head-over tincups to the canvas with the vacant stare that I picture in my mind's eye is forever on the faces of sloshed North Dakotans. Ali survived that 15th round, barely, as he was saved from collapse only by the ropes in the 12th round, sorta Trump's Iowa, from a more devastating left uppercut from Smokin' Joe, Ali survived by draping himself limply on Frazier after both, sort of like Trump, too, and finished the fight, which, of course, he lost decisively but which he has always claimed he won, like Trump after Iowa. Ali had the sense knocked out of him that Trump has never had. Like Ali Trump will carry on even after a 10+ loss in Wisconsin, if it comes to that, but his chances of getting 1,237 will be...complicated. Unless Trump wins Wisconsin, and, must we hasten to add, wins a majority of the delegates, (538 some time ago set his "goal" at 25 delegates there) he will be a "Loser," I predict that, and will not get to 1,237 and will be a "Loser" again in Cleveland. I predict that, too.

I am Benjamin Harris, this is Public Occurrences for April 3, 2016 and this is good night. Trump, go fuck yourself.