Monday, August 03, 2020

"Trump’s assault on mail voting threatens his reelection bid" 😂

The guy...he just has the worst instincts. It's like that Archie Bunker line from All In The Family, "My dad used to say if a bird had my brains it'd fly backwards", or upside down.


Donald Trump’s all-out war on mail voting is backfiring in battleground states.

New private polling shared first with POLITICO showed that Republicans have become overwhelmingly concerned about mail balloting...A potentially decisive slice of Trump’s battleground-state base — 15 percent of Trump voters in Florida, 12 percent in Pennsylvania and 10 percent in Michigan — said that getting a ballot in the mail would make them less likely to vote in November.

[Politico: that ain't gonna be decisive.]

...less than 1 percent of Joe Biden voters said getting a ballot mailed to them would make them less likely to vote. 

Overall, 53 percent of voters in Florida and about half in Michigan and Pennsylvania expressed health concerns about casting their ballots in person and prefer voting by mail in November.

The poll is part of a late flurry of research trying to gauge swing-state voter attitudes as the coronavirus accelerates the trend of more and more voters casting their ballots by mail...some Republicans fear that Trump’s regular fulminations against mail voting will depress GOP turnout in the fall.

“He’s sowing the seeds of his own downfall with his rhetoric around vote by mail,” said Katie Merrill, a Democratic strategist whose consulting firm, BaughmanMerrill, commissioned the polling by FM3 Research, a respected outfit that polls for a range of clients including Democratic campaigns and municipal governments. “It really was like President Trump looked at the crosstabs of our poll when he tweeted. He tweeted exactly to his base what they are thinking.”

[
self-sabotage? I don't know what he's thinking. It's really odd.]
                                 



Large majorities of the swing-state voters expressed concerns about their health, with 70 percent viewing the pandemic as an “extremely” or “very serious” problem. Trump’s supporters skew older than Biden’s, including people who believe their health is at risk. Because of this, pollster Dave Metz said it’s more likely that the president’s supporters shy away from going to the polls in person, particularly if state and local health officials issue warnings against doing so.“He probably has more to lose in that scenario,” Metz said of Trump.
...
Conservative campaign operatives have also worried that the president’s dismissal of the method will hurt their programs to encourage voters to take advantage of the option, allowing Democrats to build up a big lead. There’s early signs that that is coming to pass: In Florida, 302,000 more Democrats have enrolled in the state’s vote-by-mail program than Republicans.



...
Election experts also say that the term vote-by-mail can be a misnomer for voters. Voters often have the option to return their ballots at a drop box or to their clerk, instead of through the postal service,

[Oh! I didn't know that.]
...
“If you can't think about it for the greater good, at least think about it for your own political survival,” said [Kevin] Kosar [vice president at the free market think tank R Street] “Because having a Wisconsin-type mess, having people have to stand in line, having you — the people’s representatives — blamed for a sudden spike in Covid cases … Do you want any of that on you as an elected official?
https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/08/03/trumps-assault-on-mail-voting-threatens-his-reelection-bid-390949

[Awesome, very informative article, Politico, but...