Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics

You can just about find figures to justify any position you take. There's just so many damn trees in the forest you end up dizzy studying them. But sometimes, all of a sudden, you see one tree that stands out from the rest. 

Donald Trump has a path through that thicket of trees. The polls tell us Trump is too close to Joe Biden in most of the swingiest swing states. But there is one tree that stands out in that forest of statistics. 

Nationally Trump has 42.5% of the vote per RCP today, and that's per RCP and any other damn service you consult and on any damn day. And this is the tree that stands out: In two-way races no one has ever won the presidency with less than 46% of the popular vote.