46%

That is the cardinal metric. The 46th President of the United States will need at least  46.0% of the popular vote for in a two-person race no one in history has ever been elected president with less than 46.0% of the popular vote. Two days before the 2020 presidential election, with tens of millions of ballots already cast, Donald Trump has 43.9% of the vote in the polling average of RealClearPolitics.