-18% Cases
-27% Hospitalizations
-27% Hospitalizations
-32% Deaths
7-day daily averages (Through March 15 unless indicated)
55,153 Cases. Up.
42,054 Hospitalizations. Down.
1,394 Deaths. Down.
2,435,037 Vaccinations. Up. (Through March 16)
3.31% Deaths-Hospitalizations rate. Up.
Dailies (March 15 unless indicated)
-Today, Tuesday, is a full reporting day-
57,083 Cases. Up.
40,052 Hospitalizations. Down.
751 Deaths. Up.
1,655,996. Vaccinations (March 16). Down, down almost 400k
Grade B
Grading explanation. Up until last night I was issuing the day’s grades by the seat of my pants, mentally giving more weight to the 14-day and 7-day but not in any systemitized fashion. Last night I decided to systemize but POJO was perfect on every metric for every category so I didn’t have to do the math. Tonight, he wasn’t perfect so I did the math. I assigned 1 point to the dailies, a possible 4 total points, 7 points to the 7-days, 35 total possibles, and 14 to the 14-day changes: 42 possible. 81 possible points total. 81=100 and I made the proportional conversion.
I awarded or witheld points based on comparison to the immediate previous iteration’s number, except for the 14 day. It was too much of a pain in my assholes to go back to my previous post to see if the change was greater or lesser than the day before. The New York Times, the source for these numbers, does not provide a 14-day line graph as it does the other metrics. So, POJO starts out with a usual (not always—on a very few days one of the 14-day change percentages has been in positive territory) baseline of 52% “correct.” That seemed the right thing to do. The 14-day is twice and 14 times as important as the other two. If the 14-day daily change in a category is negative, as it almost always is, he should get the full 14 point credit. He could get a zero, 46-1 surely would have during the multiple surges under him, and because he gave up in June of 2020, and if POJO really has a shitty day but still gets the max 42 points from the 14-days, he’d still need 18 points more just to avoid getting an F. Seemed right to me.
I then graded on a simplified school grade scale using round numbers. A, 90-100; B, 80-89; C, 70-79; D, 60-69; F, 59 and below.
For today, Tuesday, March 16th’s reported numbers POJO scored 80.2%, B, barely a B, but B.
