Saturday, September 04, 2021

COVID-19 BIDEN+227 (Sept. 4)

Ladies and gentiles we have a situation here. The situation is good. Average daily cases, this is per NYT, declined for the fourth successive 7-day period.

160,901 average daily cases Aug 29-Sept. 4. Down. And down 2,766 ave/day, by FAR the steepest drop in on this metric in the period the subject of these posts. We are now bounding back toward the once hideous, now sparkily, number we were at on Aug 25-31. Today’s iteration means that an average 5.9k/day fewer Americans have been infected than on Aug. 26-Sept. 1. Time to get hopes up. GIT 'EM UP!

163,667 Aug. 28-Sept.3. Down again. The hell. Not near yesterday’s average daily drop but still, it’s down, there are an average daily 659 fewer Amerks infected in this 7-day period than yesterday’s. Today’s cases average is 9,100/day fewer infections than the Sept. 1 week average. How can that be? Today’s it. is the fourth decrease in fourteen its on this metric, which I made up my own self.

There may be something awry with the Times’s data across the board: the unfathomable disparity between the Times, which had almost half again the deaths on the single day of Sept. 2 as did CDC and Johns Hopkins; the shocking Times case increase of Aug. 26-Sept. 1, followed by the huge drop in yesterday’s it. The Times has still got the 2,932 number up for the number of deaths the day of Sept. 2. The 7-Day average was 1,521. Today, Sept. 3, the daily deaths number is 1,978, a drop in one day of close to 1,000. Don’t make no sense. The 7-day average daily deaths Aug. 27-Sept. 2 was 1,521. Today, the Aug. 28-Sept. 3 it., it’s 1,550, an increase of, to me, an unsubstantiated, paltry 29 deaths/day. But look, I ain’t no good at math, maybe it makes sense to brainaics. It’s just unavoidable that either the New York Times is right and CDC and Hopkins are wrong, or CDC and the Johnnies are right and the Gray Lady has lost some grey matter.

164,326 Aug.27-Sept. 2. Down (?) Wow, only the third decrease in 13 iterations and the largest, -1,754, in this minuscule sample size. I don't know how but there may be some reporting artifact in this it. and yesterday's it. An increase of over 6k/day yesterday? And now a decrease of 1.75k? Spreading out the reporting lags and problems over seven full reporting daya almost always mellows out the daily jigs and jags. Yet, in two it.'s there's a net change of 8,000/day. Doesn't seem right. Something fishy with the data is my suspicion.

166,080 Aug 26.-Sept. 1. Up >6,000/day, the largest increase over a previous iteration in the period under examination. An utter horror.
160,041 Aug. 25-31. Up over 1k/day. That's up almost 5k/day in the latest two 7-day iterations.
158,946 Aug. 24-30. Up over 2k/day.
156,886 Aug. 23-29. Up 741 ave/day. Up is bad. 741 represents a 0.47% increase over Aug. 22-28. Which is minuscule, but minuscule bad.
156,145 Aug. 22-28. Increase of ~ 800 ave/day. An unhealthy increase but the number has not (yet) exceeded that on Aug. 20-26. P'ert near, but not quite. I know, my eyes are squinting now.
155,365 Aug. 21-27. Second decrease, almost 1k/day average.
156,349 Aug. 20-26. Huge leap, almost 4k/day average.
152,372 Aug. 19-25. Increase.
151,441 Aug. 18-24. Increase.
150,625 Aug 17-23. Increase almost 1k/day average.
149,675 Aug. 16-22. First slight decrease.
150,138 Aug. 15-21. Huge increase, over 4k/day average from Aug. 14-20.