Sunday, June 07, 2015

Andrew Beyer.

Mr. Beyer is the premier thoroughbred handicapping expert in America, has been doing it for decades, has written books, developed the ubiquitous Beyer Speed Figure, writes a column for the Washington Post:

April 30:

With legitimate skepticism around Derby favorites, pick might be Upstart.


...[A]nd the skepticism should begin with American Pharoah.
...
My Derby picks:
1. Upstart
2. Dortmund
3. American Pharoah
4. Frosted.
(Upstart finished last, 60 1/2 lengths behind American Pharoah.)


May 14:

Preakness is a three-horse showdown, and it all depends on how they break

American Pharoah clearly is a very talented colt — fast, maneuverable, consistent. But if he and Firing Line had switched positions on the Churchill Downs track, would he have won, becoming the heavy favorite in Saturday’s Preakness and a threat to sweep the Triple Crown? It’s a debatable point.
...
But American Pharoah was not much better than Firing Line (if at all) in the Derby, and Dortmund has talent close to theirs.
...
The losers in the Derby aren’t going to let American Pharoah win the way he did in Louisville.
...
If I had to wager Saturday, I would choose Firing Line because he was approximately as good as American Pharoah in Louisville, yet his odds will be significantly higher than the favorite in Baltimore. 

(Firing Line finished seventh out of eight, 45 lengths behind American Pharoah.)

May 16:

‘Pharoah’ is impressive in Preakness, but he left room for doubt at Belmont


June 7:

American Pharoah makes history, wins Triple Crown
It is difficult for many handicappers, myself included, to heap lavish praise on horses who win with perfect trips like this one. After a horse captures a race with an unchallenged early lead, we’re looking to bet against him the next time he runs, not anoint him a superhorse.


There you have it, ladies and gentlemen, another sure money-making tip from Andrew.