Thursday, June 11, 2015

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What will he do tonight?

J.A. Adande has an excellent article on ESPN.com, so excellent I am going to link to it.AdandeJames

Ladies and gentlemen...Sorry, friends and enemies, we are witnessing something never before seen. LeBron James is performing at a level on the basketball court that is unequalled in history. The Finals is only three games old and LeBron James has scored more points than any other player in Finals history. He has taken his team, which was not as good as the "Warriors" to begin with, one that lost its third best player to injury earlier in the playoffs, then lost its second best player in the first game of the Finals, he has taken this wreck of a team, coached by a knucklehead, owned by an asshole, and has them up two games to one in a first-to-four-wins series. It is astonishing.

It is astonishing and the point of Mr. Adande's article is that it is statistically unrealistic to think that he will do it again tonight, not probabilistically, statistically. Adande has gone back and looked at James' and the other Cleveland players' performances in NBA playoffs: they're all performing way over their statistical history--137%, 129%, 132%, 236%--and James, of course, is playing more minutes per game than he ever has. Adande's point is that this is not sustainable. It is an excellent point. What will he do tonight?