U.S. Surpasses 25 Million Coronavirus Cases, a Staggering Tally
President Biden predicts that U.S. pandemic deaths will exceed 600,000.
That was last updated at 10:04.
Hopkins still has it under 25M, barely, 24,991,122. The Times says we crossed 25M Saturday afternoon. The Times and Hopkins have always been slightly out of sync.
Continuing from the Times:
Experts now fear that any signs of progress could be undone by the emergence of new variants that appear to be more contagious.
[They reported same yesterday]
...
Epidemiologists say the true number of infections is probably much higher than the official tallies.
[They have reported that for months.]
On what frustrates me most, Biden's prediction of a total 600k U.S. Deaths:
[No, no, no, no, not: Project when virus deaths will be Zero; take Z-Day and accelerate it.]
President Biden, by predicting on Friday that the coronavirus-related U.S. death toll would eventually be well over 600,000, could in the end be right.
Or, like others who have tried to forecast the figure, he could be wrong.
Back in March, when Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the U.S. government’s top infectious disease specialist, said that the pandemic could kill 100,000 to 240,000 people in the country, some thought his projection was too grim to be possible.
On Tuesday, the country surpassed 400,000 deaths. And on Thursday, Mr. Biden predicted — on his first full day on the job — that the death toll would top 500,000 next month, an estimate supported by models from public health experts.
“The virus is surging. We’re 400,000 dead, expected to reach well over 600,000,” Mr. Biden said on Friday evening. “No matter how you look at it, we need to act.”
[Yes, sir]
Meanwhile, an aggregate forecast from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention comprising various independent models projects that 465,000 to 508,000 deaths could be reported by Feb. 13.
[He'll we got 465k dicked]
At many points over the past year, even dire death toll projections have fallen short of reality. The U.S. failed to bring the virus under control when it had a chance to do so in the spring. New, more transmissible variants now make the outlook for the virus harder to predict.
[It is just a tenacious, highly mobile enemy. We are not going to achieve herd immunity until a combination of vaccines and infections reach, I don't know what Fauci's sincere best estimate is of when herd kicks in, I know he said 70% at one point then 75% and I think he said his gut told him it was 80%-85%. Googling how many people in U.S. have been vaccinated I get 1.6M have been "fully vaccinated," two doses I presume, and 10.6 have received "at least one dose." I'm going to be optimistic and call it 11M have been vaccinated. Add that to 25M who have been infected (NOT subtracting out those who have died (unreasonably optimistic use of stats by me) and you get 36M who are vaccinated one way or another. The current population of the U.S. is 328.2M. That's 10.96% of the population. We need. In for an optimistic dime, in for an optimistic dollar. We have to vaccinate one way or the other 246,15M people to reach herd, We have to vaccinate 210.15M more people than we've already vaccinated.
I refuse to accept "well over 600k Deaths". The goal is zero more Deaths EVER. I want Biden's and CDC'S prediction of when we will reach zero daily Deaths and I want to know their plan to get to zero. No more predictions of 500k or 600k Deaths. When will we reach zero deaths and what is your plan specifically to get to zero post-haste. There is a malign psychological mindset produced when you project Failure. You never consider the GOAL and work to minimize the Failure, which is different than succeeding. To restate: What is your plan Mr. President to reach your GOAL. That is your baseline and your eyes should be laser-focused on the goal line and what you can do to cross the goal line--think creatively Mr. President, think with a desperate mindset and don't play for field position. Getin the fucking endzone, don't kee the score of defeat "respectable." Go to bet sick of failure tonight and just win baby.
