Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Of course the House will impeach Trump tomorrow. That is a foregone conclusion. The significance of Republicans like Katko, and there will be others, coming out for it is that every single Republican voted against it in 2019. 

Not to diminish in the slightest the righteous House, the issue will then shift to the Senate. Will the Senate actually convict Trump? I would have thought that foregone conclusion was no. But the thinking of Mitch McConnell as described by the people who spoke to McConnell has shifted hugely:

Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader, has told associates that he believes President Trump committed impeachable offenses and that he is pleased that Democrats are moving to impeach him, believing that it will make it easier to purge him from the party, according to people familiar with his thinking. 

McConnell is not quoted so what does this second-hand account of his thinking mean? "He believes Trump committed impeachable offenses" is not the same as "I will vote to convict him." "He is pleased Democrats are moving to impeach him." I am such a yellow-dog Democrat that if Mitch McConnell is pleased that we're doing something my knee-jerk is to contemplate an about face. Is he pleased that Katko is moving to impeach him? That McCarthy is wobbly and has proposed censure? He's pleased because "it will make it easier to purge Trump from the GOP." I don't know what that means.