Two hours shy of a full 24, looking just at the daily figures from Johns Hopkins, it has been a sobering May 18 with a silver lining.
Incomplete but nearly complete the cumulative all-time number of Trump Virus cases is
1,508,291
Twenty two and one-half hours ago that number was 1,486,577. That then is an increase of
21,714 New cases of Trump Virus today, May 18.
90,347 people have been Killed by Donald Trump with the Trump Virus. That however is the "good" news for it represents an increase in the total number Killed by Trump in one day of "only"
785. It had become routine for Trump to kill over 1,000 per day. His Kill rate therefore should have fallen. And it has fallen, to
5.99%. The skyscraper case clusters are moving through the cycle and what we are beginning to see is lower total daily death tolls as the more modest number of cases pass through. We are beginning to see die people who were first diagnosed two weeks ago, on May 3 and 4th, and those were part of lower numbers of cases. The number of deaths and Trump's Kill rate should rise a tick or two in the next day or two, corresponding to an increase number of daily cases May 5-9. In the first days after that we should see another drop from the lower number of cases of May 10-13, an uptick two weeks from May 14-16, and then another slight down tick. It is well though for me to not miss Chief WaPo's forest for the Johnnies trees of those daily bars.
The seven-day average number of cases is going down, has gone down since the last days of April, and will continue to down, I think.
There is actually less fluctuation in the seven-day average number of deaths than in the new cases. You could draw a trend line there starting from near peak on April 22 straight to May 18. That trend line would be DOWN. THOSE are the graphs I need to keep in mind, not Hopkins' daily numbers. Good night, and it's a pretty good night, relatively.
Incomplete but nearly complete the cumulative all-time number of Trump Virus cases is
1,508,291
Twenty two and one-half hours ago that number was 1,486,577. That then is an increase of
21,714 New cases of Trump Virus today, May 18.
90,347 people have been Killed by Donald Trump with the Trump Virus. That however is the "good" news for it represents an increase in the total number Killed by Trump in one day of "only"
785. It had become routine for Trump to kill over 1,000 per day. His Kill rate therefore should have fallen. And it has fallen, to
5.99%. The skyscraper case clusters are moving through the cycle and what we are beginning to see is lower total daily death tolls as the more modest number of cases pass through. We are beginning to see die people who were first diagnosed two weeks ago, on May 3 and 4th, and those were part of lower numbers of cases. The number of deaths and Trump's Kill rate should rise a tick or two in the next day or two, corresponding to an increase number of daily cases May 5-9. In the first days after that we should see another drop from the lower number of cases of May 10-13, an uptick two weeks from May 14-16, and then another slight down tick. It is well though for me to not miss Chief WaPo's forest for the Johnnies trees of those daily bars.
The seven-day average number of cases is going down, has gone down since the last days of April, and will continue to down, I think.
