Thursday, May 14, 2020

Slowing the Rise of the Trump Epidemic

Each of those dots is a logarithmic rendering of the cases of Trump Virus. The last two, yesterday and May 12 are identical, 1.4M. The five previous are all 1.3M. The previous four were 1.2M. The logarithmic scale over the sixteen days starting April 28 through May 13 has gone from 1M to 1.4M. Demonstrably "the curve is flattening" but it is still rising. We have not flat-lined it much less gotten the fourteen consecutive days of decreases in new cases that is CDC's guideline for reopening the country.

Dr. Fauci is obviously reasonable in fearing a "re-curving," a jump in new daily cases with the reopening that is underway. However, there does come some point where an existential line must be drawn between new sickness and death and skyrocketing unemployment. Reasonable men and women can differ on where to draw that line. Dr. Fauci and the reasonable medical people at CDC draw it at fourteen days of consecutive decreases. Governor Cuomo drew it similarly, although not identically.

Personally, Noted Idiot here typing, I do not think that the CDC's fourteen days of decline is reasonable when balanced against the unemployment and shuttered businesses on the other side.

Any reasonable president would be mindful of the Swedish philosophy that lockdowns are a one-way street with exactly one off ramp and no U-turns. Once you decide to exit, you cannot get back on Lockdown Street. With those considerations a president draws a line somewhere. Trump, and the governors he has successfully pressured to reopen, drew the line at the levels we were at about two weeks ago. That was unreasonable. Trump is an unreasonable president. Trump is a Loser as president and in life.  He has been continually, breathtakingly, floridly, cowardly, stupidly, ignorantly wrong throughout the Trump Epidemic. We were in the middle of the Empire State Building of new cases when Trump called for his Low Lifes to "LIBERATE" the states. All of the sickness and death since then, as all previous, is on Trump and those governors. However, if Trump had started pressuring on May 7 or shortly thereafter, I could not have faulted him. I would have done the same and would properly by faulted for all of the sickness and death that has come since. Trump did not ergo I fault him more.

The daily cases declined yesterday after a one-day spike on the 12th, thus breaking the pattern of April 10-15. Any reasonable person can see the depression in the bars over the last several days that are consequent of social distancing. In my ignorant opinion now, or even on May 7, is/where I would have drawn the line and reopened.